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What corporate leaders expect from 2003
As the new year dawns, corporate giants talk about the challenges facing the Indian economy in 2003
Azim Premji, Chairman, Wipro Corporation
"The biggest challenge facing the Indian economy is that of
fundamental transformation which can raise the GDP growth to a
sustainable 8 per cent annually. I believe that that is the only way to
solve the basic issues of unemployment, poverty and social conflicts.
My suggestion to achieve this fundamental transformation is seven-fold.
We seem to have made good progress on two of them — telecommunication
and roads. Let me mention the other five.
First and the most fundamental in my view is primary
education. We still have 50 million children in the age group 6-14 who
are out of school. Dropout rates are 42 per cent at Standards 1-4 and
as high as 58 per cent at Standards 5-8. Education helps people in
formed choices and enhances their access to opportunities.
Second, and which goes hand in hand with primary
education is the issue of primary healthcare. Our infant mortality rate
is 70 per thousand compared to less than 10 per thousand in the
developed world. Morbidity, combined with illiteracy, deprives millions
of our people from participating in the economic opportunity. Both,
lack of economic opportunities and access to them, are cited as the
basic reason for escalation of social strife in recent times. While
primary education and healthcare improve the accessibility, we need to
do much more to grow the size of the economic opportunities.
Investment in Road and Telecom infrastructure is
generating huge employment opportunities, apart from enhancing
productivity levels in the economy.
There are three other sectors that need immediate
attention. Power sector is by far the biggest resource drain in the
economy. We need to bring in `user charge', eliminate power
thefts/leaks and improve efficiency of generation, distribution and
transmission. Privatisation seems to be the only answer to bring about
these changes. These changes can have a major impact on the fiscal
deficit of the States, apart from bringing down the cost of doing
business in India.
The resources saved from power sector need to be
deployed for water management. Water scarcity is being felt across the
country — whether urban or rural. Less than 40 per cent of the
cultivable land is under assured irrigation. Underground water table is
declining at the rate of 5 per cent every year. In the medium term,
water shortage will create a significant barrier to growth — whether
agriculture, industry or urban infrastructure. Investment in water
management can generate enormous employment.
Lastly, we need to overhaul our land related laws,
taxation and information systems. It is estimated that 90 per cent of
land in India is subject to legal disputes over the ownership. Stamp
duty ranges between 8 and15 percent of the property value, encouraging
avoidance. Property tax rates are low and collection is inefficient.
All this has led to Indian land prices being the
highest among the Asian nations relative to average incomes, and low
tax collection for the governments hampering their ability to maintain
urban infrastructure. Effective land reforms can really boost housing
and retail sectors, two of the largest sectors of the economy outside
of agriculture, and generate huge employment opportunities.
To summarise, the challenge of the sustained high
economic growth can be overcome only providing effective primary
education and healthcare reforming the power sector, investing in water
management and carrying out land reforms."
This article appeared in Business Line, issue dated 30 December, 2002
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